I had a very interesting chat with Mr Vic the other day and he shared this site
So just as an example think of Harvard... who do they admit?? Well based on their past trends. In the search bar at top right of page I typed: Yale. Selected the article Yale University GPA, SAT/ACT scores for admission.
My favorite viz is below -- it is a scattergram of the accepted, accepted won't atend, wait listed, and denied candiates.
Where are you thinking of going to college??
Maybe your 'reach' school isn't actually a reach...